U.S. Cities Lead Top Picks for International Investment

1/11/2013 | By Carisa Chappell

Global investors are showing a preference for the U.S. commercial real estate market, as four of their top five cities selected for investment are located in the United States, according to the Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate’s (AFIRE) annual member survey.

New York topped the list of the most popular cities for global investment dollars, followed in order by London, San Francisco, Washington and Houston.
Jim Fetgatter, chief executive of AFIRE, said that the results reflect a trend in which job growth serves as a leading indicator of the best places to invest.

“The strong endorsement of both San Francisco and Houston by our members in this year’s survey directly reflects the propensity for real estate investment to follow jobs, in this case, technology and energy, which are thought to be among the top drivers of the next economic wave,”he said.

Additionally, with cities such as Houston and San Francisco growing in popularity with non-U.S. investors, Fetgatter said he anticipates they will show more interest in putting their money outside of their customary strongholds.

“As other economic drivers emerge, it will not be surprising to see investors seek opportunities beyond the traditional New York and Washington, D.C., markets,” he said.

The dominance of U.S. cities among investors’ preferred global choices shows that the country is the most “transparent, professional and liquid real estate market in the world,” according to Christopher Kahl, chairman of AFIRE. Kahl added that that population growth in the U.S. will be a major driver for long-term capital appreciation.

One of the more noticeable changes in this year’s survey results is the recognition of Turkey as a targeted market for international investors. Respondents rated Turkey fourth in terms of best opportunities for capital appreciation. Turkey was also named one of the top emerging markets for real estate investment.

The survey was conducted in the fourth quarter of 2012 by the James A. Grasskamp Center for Real Estate at the Wisconsin School of Business.

COMMENTS

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Galimjan | 2/14/2013 6:02:31 AM
If you're in a high-expense VA, I'd definitely roll that over (1031 enaxchge) tax-free to a low expense VA at Vanguard. Your real decision is whether to cash it out and pay off your student loans with it. The first step is to calculate your basis on it. Remember, someone paid money into this VA. How much is that compared to its current value? If $200K has been paid into it, and it's worth $220K now, then you only owe tax and penalty on $20K, which is no big deal, and the guaranteed 6.8% return of paying off your loans looks pretty appealing. I think you're saying that 90% of this investment is taxable, which is really pretty incredible for the last 20 years. You're saying the investment has had a 900% return (12.25% a year after expenses)? Seems rather unbelievable, but I suppose it isn't impossible. But if that's the case, you're probably looking at paying a lot of tax and penalty. Let's assume again that it's worth $200K, but that only $20K has been paid into it. Now you would owe tax and penalty on $180K. Assuming you can pull that money out over 3 years at perhaps a 25% marginal tax rate + a 10% penalty, you're looking at paying 0.35*180K=$63,000 in taxes. I think I'd rather hold on to that VA until retirement in that case. You don't have to put any more money into it, it grows tax-free (until you pull it out) and you can get reasonably low expenses at Vanguard. Then again, if you can continue to get 12.25% returns ..I might leave it exactly where it is and not tell anyone else about that investment. :) At that rate in 30 years your $200K will be worth $6.4 Million.
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