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Nareit’s 2026 outlook addresses the topics that have been on the minds of real estate investors, including valuation divergences, compelling opportunities, and global strategies.
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The FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs Index declined 7.0% in September as the 10-year Treasury yield continued to climb, ending the month at 4.6%, while the All Equity REITs dividend yield ended the month at 4.4%.
The FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs index posted total returns of negative 4.5%. Broader markets were down as well, with the Russell 1000 reversing nearly all the gains of the prior week.
The FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs Index rose 3.3% in August, outperforming the broader stock market. The Dow Jones U.S. Total Stock Market rose 2.3% and the Russell 1000 rose 2.1% for the month.
Tariff actions have introduced uncertainty into U.S. financial and economic markets.
Funds from operations of all Equity REITs increased to $15.9 billion in the first quarter, according to the Nareit T-Tracker. Occupancy rates remain near the record highs set last year.
The FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs Index declined 2.4% in March as broader market equities suffered greater losses, with the Russell 1000 declining 5.8% and the Dow Jones U.S. Total Stock Market falling 5.9%.
Markets ended with little change last week as the FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs index had a total return of -0.6%, reversing the small gains from the prior week. Broad equity markets were down as well, with a -0.3% total return on the Russell 1000.
A moderate supply of new buildings is helping to keep vacancy rates low and reduces risks of a market downturn due to excess construction in the months and years ahead.
The FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs index closed down 8.2% for the week ended May 15th, the first weekly decline for the month of May.
REITs and broad market equities faced challenges in August, as the sharply rising 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.34%, its highest level since 2007, and then declined to 4.09% in the final week of the month.
Last week the index posted a total return of negative 4.5%, the second week of single-digit moves after much sharper gyrations both up and down in the early stages of the crisis.
The FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs index was down 0.7% last week, while tech stocks pulled major indices much lower, with the Nasdaq down 3.3% and the S&P 500 falling 2.3%.
A comparison of recent trends of the P/E ratio for the S&P 500 to the price-to-FFO ratio for REITs shows a contrasting risk/reward tradeoff between the broad equity market and REITs.
Although the economic, financial, and property markets have experienced considerable changes over the last few years, REIT operational performance has maintained resilience.
The year ahead is likely to see further improvement in commercial real estate markets as the economy continues to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic. Here are the top ten developments to follow.
On a year-to-date basis, the FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs Index is up 3.5% and the FTSE Nareit Equity REITs Index is up 5.4%.