REITs invest in the majority of real estate property types, including offices, apartment buildings, warehouses, retail centers, medical facilities, data centers, cell towers and hotels.
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Due to the highly unusual nature of this recession, uncertainty about the path of the pandemic, and the potential for a robust recovery, in upcoming earnings announcements the management’s view of market conditions and discussion of the outlook are likely to attract at least as much attention as FFO.
Markets ended with little change last week as the FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs index had a total return of -0.6%, reversing the small gains from the prior week. Broad equity markets were down as well, with a -0.3% total return on the Russell 1000.
Demand weakened even as construction projects initiated well ahead of the pandemic continued to be delivered to the market, leading to a rise in vacancy rates and softening of market rents.
REIT share prices rose last week with the FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs index posting a positive return of 4.2%.
A few areas—travel, hotels, restaurants and bars, other recreation—were responsible for over a third of the overall economic decline in Q2, yet these categories represent just 6% of the overall U.S. economy.
The 30+ day delinquency rate on securitized commercial mortgages fell 72 basis points in July, to 9.60%.
REIT share prices rose last week, with a total return of 1.2% on the FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs index.
The overall FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs index was down 1.8% in terms of total return.
The sharp decline in REIT earnings reflects the record contraction in GDP in the second quarter. Economic activity hit bottom in April, however, and began rebounding over the past four months.
Given that rent collections in the industrial, office, and healthcare sectors have stabilized at high levels, the August survey focuses on three property subsectors: apartments, free standing retail, and shopping center retail.
The FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs index was down 0.3% in terms of total return.
One of the keys to finding opportunities in the current real estate landscape is by differentiating between transitory and permanent changes in consumer behavior and the use of real estate.
Nearly every recent housing market indicator has shown significant increases for July, and were above consensus expectations.
Last week’s gains trimmed the declines so far this year to single digits, bringing the year-to-date total return to -9.0%
Valuations in the overall market have edged down 1.4% over the past three months, and are little changed year-to-date.
The CMBS delinquency rate continued to decline in August as the reopening of the economy helped revive cash flows at some troubled tenants.